The 2025 Hype Cycle for GenAI Highlights Critical Innovations

Navigate the dynamic — but daunting — landscape of GenAI innovations.

Look past the hype for GenAI technologies

By 2028, more than 95% of enterprises will have used generative AI APIs or models, and/or deployed GenAI-enabled applications in production environments. In the meantime, IT leaders must navigate a sea of overhyped technologies and high expectations to deliver value and align with organizational strategy

Innovations with lofty promises are struggling to deliver on inflated expectations and move from proof of concept to production. The 2025 Hype Cycle for Generative AI demystifies the core technologies underpinning the transformative GenAI trend, enabling you to identify which innovations best align with your organization’s risk tolerance and strategic objectives while maximizing potential rewards.

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Key areas for investment shape the Hype Cycle for GenAI

The Hype Cycle for Generative AI focuses on four crucial technology areas to help AI leaders identify specific technologies worthy of strategic investment.

GenAI Hype Cycle area No. 1: GenAI models

Large language models (LLMs), which are pretrained on data, remain the cornerstone of GenAI and the most mature model technology on the Hype Cycle. These general purpose foundational models can be customized for a wide variety of use cases and offer significant capabilities, hence their prominence. However, other types of models, such as open-source LLMs, domain-specific GenAI models and large reasoning models, are quickly evolving into viable options for organizations. 

Example technology: Multimodal generative AI

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GenAI Hype Cycle area No. 2: AI engineering

As organizations prepare to scale GenAI programs, the ability to build, govern and customize GenAI-powered applications becomes critical. AI engineering encompasses a growing ecosystem of GenAI tools and techniques that enables organizations to ensure Gen-AI-powered applications support their organization’s broader strategy. These tools offer effective application orchestration frameworks, reduce hallucinations, mitigate disinformation and ensure regulatory compliance. 

AI engineering also includes a group of tools and techniques focused on enforcing safe and efficient use of AI. 

Example technology: AI TRiSM

GenAI Hype Cycle area No. 3: AI agents, applications and use cases

GenAI virtual assistants — e.g. ChatGPT — leverage LLMs to deliver functionality beyond that of traditional conversational AI technology and represent the most well known examples of GenAI in use today. 

Long-term, organizations want to use AI agents to automate complex, multistep processes at scale to boost productivity, lower operational costs and improve the customer experience.

Agentic AI, which is seeing a rapid surge of interest, autonomously or semi-autonomously uses AI techniques to perceive, make decisions, take actions and achieve goals in digital or physical environments. The shift from passive AI chatbots toward agentic AI marks a fundamental change in how organizations interact with AI systems and extract business value. 

Example technology: Embodied AI

GenAI Hype Cycle area No. 4: Infrastructure and enablement techniques

GenAI’s evolution depends on a combination of novel techniques and established, foundational AI practices. Innovations like self-supervised learning, which reduces the need for large amounts of labeled training data, provide solutions to practical problems in the GenAI space. Currently, self-supervised learning is mainly involved in use cases like autonomous driving and medical diagnosis, but a growing number of industries have begun experimenting with the technology.

Specialized infrastructure is also gaining interest for its role in model training and the inference process. Specialized AI chips and tools can help increase efficiency and reduce associated costs.

Example technology: AI supercomputing

Hype Cycle for Generative AI FAQs

What is the Hype Cycle for Generative AI (GenAI)?

The GenAI Hype Cycle is Gartner’s graphical representation of the maturity, adoption metrics and business impact of GenAI technologies. It helps CIOs and other IT leaders identify GenAI innovations they can exploit, according to their appetite for risk in pursuit of potential rewards.

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